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CESF
is leading in the development of new required doctoral subjects,
teaching 'fundamentals' associated with Engineering Systems.
The first
such subject is:
ESD.86 Models, Data, Inference for Socio-Technical
Systems (New) Prereq: ESD.83, 6.041G (Spring) 3-0-9
Its description
is as follows: Use data and systems knowledge to build models
of complex socio-technical systems for improved system design
and decision-making. Enhance model-building skills, including:
review and extension of functions of random variables, Poisson
processes, and Markov processes. Move from applied probability
to statistics via Chi-squared t and f tests, derived as functions
of random variables. Review classical statistics, hypothesis
tests, regression, correlation and causation, simple data
mining techniques, and Bayesian vs. classical statistics.
Class project. Richard C. Larson, Daniel D. Frey
This subject
operates in parallel along several tracks. There are the usual
lectures, with weekly recitations and problem sets. There
is also an ongoing project to monitor uses and abuses and
misinterpretations of statistics in the widely read U.S. media.
Then there is a class project. The subject is not class in
statistics nor a class in applied probability. Rather, it
is an attempt to merge the two, to show how one can build
models axiomatically from basic principals of applied probability
and/or one can build models by 'curve fitting' using data
sets and the theory of statistics. But we emphasize that it
is best to use a mixture of both approaches, especially to
avoid common pitfalls such as confusing correlation with causality.
Our hope
is that additional doctoral level subjects in fundamentals
will be developed by others in the years ahead.
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